<b>One whale order can manufacture a fake 8% revenue lift in a mid-size test.</b>
Revenue is heavy-tailed; the mean is hostage to extremes. A single $9,000 order in the variant arm moves the average that the t-test reads as "signal."
— Winsorize or cap order value, or test median / trimmed mean.
— Always eyeball the per-arm max order before believing a revenue win.
Raw mean ▮▮▮▮▮ vs Trimmed ▮▮ — same data.
Read the number, not the story. [99th-pctile cap]
Conversion Lab Notes
@ConversionLabNotes
<b>One whale order can manufacture a fake 8% revenue lift in a mid-size test.</b>
Этот пост опубликован в Telegram-канале Conversion Lab Notes. Подписаться можно по ссылке: @ConversionLabNotes.