Bidstream Lab
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Myth: In second-price you should always bid your true value

Myth: In second-price you should always bid your true value

Game-theory 101 says the second-price auction is incentive-compatible — bidding your honest valuation is optimal because you pay the runner-up's price, not your own. Buyers carried this rule into programmatic as gospel.

The theorem holds only under assumptions the bidstream violated.

1. The truthful-bidding result requires a clean second-price auction with a single round and no hidden manipulation. The ad-tech version had layers: soft floors, header-bidding pre-auctions, and sequential SSP auctions feeding one ad server.

2. With a soft floor (a reserve the seller can flex), bidding your true high value can mean paying close to it when the second price is artificially propped up by the floor — the auction behaves like first-price near the reserve.

3. In cascaded auctions (SSP auction, then ad-server auction), the "second price" you face isn't the true market second price; it's a price already shaped by an upstream auction you didn't see. Your truthful bid is no longer dominant.

4. The empirical evidence — buyers measuring win prices clustering suspiciously near their bids — is what triggered the industry's distrust and the eventual move to declared first-price.

Why it matters: "always bid true value" was sound theory imported into a market that wasn't a textbook second-price auction. The assumptions broke first; the strategy broke with them.
Этот пост опубликован в Telegram-канале Bidstream Lab. Подписаться можно по ссылке: @BidstreamLab.
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