Our read: the redirect network's SSL setup tells you how long it'll last

Fresh free certs, wildcard on a throwaway domain, cert issued days before you got the link — that's a source built to be burned and replaced.
— Why it predicts churn: providers ban redirect chains partly off cert and domain-age fingerprints. Cheap fresh certs are the cheapest to detect.
— The buyer move: check cert age and issuer on any new redirect link before you commit budget. Seconds of work, saves a dead campaign.
— The contrast: durable sources sit on aged domains with boring, established certs. Boring is the bull case.
— confidence: low