Heard a buyer scaled an offer for weeks on a vanity number and lost money. Compute the real one:
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Use confirmed-and-PAID conversions only. Pending FTDs that get scrubbed at payout aren't EPC, they're hope.
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Factor the hold period into your cash-flow math. A high EPC you collect in 60 days isn't the same as one you collect weekly.
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Subtract refund/scrub rate — pull last month's confirmed-vs-paid gap and bake it in.
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Segment EPC by geo and source. The blended number hides the loser dragging your winner.
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Compare net-EPC-after-payout-delay against your cost of capital if you're scaling on borrowed budget.
Reportedly the buyers who track paid-EPC, not reported-EPC, are the ones still profitable at scale. Watch this.
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PLAYBOOK: Calculate your TRUE earnings-per-click on a crypto offer
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