<b>Casino NGR margin holds at ~3-5% of stakes; sportsbook swings 0-12%</b>
The structural margin difference between verticals determines how predictable your RevShare is. Casino hold (NGR ÷ total stakes) is mathematically fixed by RTP (return-to-player, the programmed payout %): a 96% RTP slot holds ~4% of every dollar staked, every month, by the law of large numbers.
Sportsbook hold is not fixed — it depends on results. The book's theoretical margin is the overround (~5-7%), but actual monthly hold swings from near 0% (favorites win, sharp month for bettors) to 12%+ (upsets, dead chalk).
The RevShare consequence:
— Casino RevShare income is low-variance and forecastable to within ~±8% month to month.
— Sportsbook RevShare income can swing ±40% on identical player activity.
The portfolio move: casino is your bond, sportsbook is your equity. A mixed-wallet cohort blends the two and is the only sportsbook-exposed structure I'd forecast cash flow against.
Benchmark of the day: casino hold is fixed by RTP (~3-5%); sportsbook hold is a random variable (0-12%) — only the former supports reliable income forecasting.
Bet Margin Lab
@BetMarginLab
<b>Casino NGR margin holds at ~3-5% of stakes; sportsbook swings 0-12%</b>
Этот пост опубликован в Telegram-канале Bet Margin Lab. Подписаться можно по ссылке: @BetMarginLab.