The Algo Heretic
The Algo Heretic
@AlgoHeretic

How to compute the engagement number that actually predicts reach

"Track your engagement rate — likes plus comments over followers." That formula is a relic from Instagram and predicts nothing on TikTok. The algo doesn't see your follower ratio; it sees per-impression behavior. Build the real one:

— Pull each video's: completion rate, rewatch rate, shares, saves.
— Weight shares and saves heaviest — they signal 'send to others / return later.'
— Ignore likes; they're the cheapest, least predictive action.
— Track this per video, not per account.

Likes are a feel-good metric the algorithm barely weighs. Shares and completion move reach. Measure what the machine reads, not what flatters you.
This post was published in the Telegram channel The Algo Heretic. Subscribe here: @AlgoHeretic.
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